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Message: <blockquote data-quote="moreluck" data-source="post: 885171" data-attributes="member: 1246">When I hear the words “Obama” and “one-term president” in the same sentence I get a Chris Matthews-like leg thrill.<a href="http://abcnews.go.com/blogs/politics/2011/10/majority-expects-obama-to-lose-re-election/" target="_blank">(ABC News)</a> — A majority of Americans expect Barack Obama to be a one-term president, an assessment on which, in past elections, the public more often has been right than wrong.Just 37 percent in a new <a href="http://www.langerresearch.com/uploads/1128a1Re-electionExpectations.pdf" target="_blank">ABC News/Washington Post poll</a> say they expect Obama to win re-election in November 2012; 55 percent instead expect the eventual Republican nominee to win. ABC’s George Stephanopoulos is asking the president about that result in an interview today.It’s a challenging finding for the president because expectations can fuel voter enthusiasm — precisely the ingredient that led the GOP to its broad success in the 2010 midterms, when charged-up conservatives turned out while dispirited Democrats stayed home.Democrats do expect Obama to win, but they say so only by 58–33 percent — a comparatively tepid vote of confidence within his own party. Republicans, by contrast, smell victory by a vast 83–13 percent. And independents — the linchpin of national politics — by 54–36 percent expect the Republican candidate to beat Obama.</blockquote>

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