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Message: <blockquote data-quote="Jones" data-source="post: 1023364" data-attributes="member: 4805"><p>That chart is a "no toss up" chart, ie, unless there is a literal tie in the polling (which is pretty rare) it awards the state electoral votes to whoever has the edge, even if that edge is just 1% and within the statistical margin for error. At this point the country is pretty polarized, and you could make a pretty good case that folks who are still undecided might not even vote. The point is that while the popular vote may be close, the electoral vote is a big hurdle for Romney. He basically has to win all the tossups that are leaning for him and quite a few of the ones that are currently leaning for Obama. Florida is a big one, if he loses there it's pretty much over.</p></blockquote><p></p>