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The 2020 Presidential Debates
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<blockquote data-quote="Box Ox" data-source="post: 4634114" data-attributes="member: 48469"><p><a href="https://www.wsj.com/articles/biden-scores-14-point-lead-over-trump-in-poll-after-debate-11601816400?st=0iy6zyg6v43kc6j" target="_blank">Biden Scores 14-Point Lead Over Trump in Poll After Debate</a></p><p></p><p>"President Trump is drawing his weakest voter support of the year in his re-election race following <a href="https://www.wsj.com/articles/in-first-debate-trump-and-biden-to-compete-for-few-persuadable-voters-11601387621" target="_blank">Tuesday’s contentious debate</a> with former Vice President Joe Biden, a <a href="https://s.wsj.net/public/resources/documents/WSJNBC-Poll-Early-October-2020.pdf" target="_blank">new Wall Street Journal/NBC News poll finds</a>.</p><p></p><p>Mr. Biden, the Democratic nominee, leads the president, 53% to 39%, among registered voters in the new poll, which was conducted in the two days following the debate but before news emerged that Mr. Trump had <a href="https://www.wsj.com/livecoverage/trump-tests-positive-covid" target="_blank">tested positive for Covid-19</a>. Mr. Biden’s 14-point lead compares with <a href="https://www.wsj.com/articles/biden-leads-trump-by-8-points-in-new-wall-street-journal-nbc-news-poll-11600606801" target="_blank">an 8-point advantage last month</a> and <a href="https://www.wsj.com/articles/biden-expands-lead-as-trumps-approval-drops-11594846800?mod=hp_lead_pos7" target="_blank">11 points in July</a>, which was his largest of the campaign at that time.</p><p></p><p>The survey finds something rare in Journal/NBC News polling: evidence that an individual news event—the debate—is having a material effect on Mr. Trump’s political standing, at least for now. Significant events in the past, such as <a href="https://www.wsj.com/articles/americans-stuck-to-their-views-on-trump-through-impeachment-trial-11580652187" target="_blank">Mr. Trump’s impeachment by the House</a> and acquittal by the Senate, had only hardened views of the president, not shifted them.</p><p></p><p>Bill McInturff, a Republican pollster who directed the survey with Democrat Jeff Horwitt, cautioned that the poll was conducted during an unsettled moment after <a href="https://www.wsj.com/articles/what-americans-thought-of-the-first-presidential-debate-11601512051" target="_blank">the caustic presidential debate</a>—“a shock to the system,” he called it—and could reflect a temporary reassessment of views. “The public can be taking a moment to say, ‘What did I just see, and how do I feel about it?’” he said. Mr. Trump could regain ground, Mr. McInturff said, given that “he has a history of bouncing back to some set point.”</p><p></p><p>[ATTACH=full]312048[/ATTACH]</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="Box Ox, post: 4634114, member: 48469"] [URL="https://www.wsj.com/articles/biden-scores-14-point-lead-over-trump-in-poll-after-debate-11601816400?st=0iy6zyg6v43kc6j"]Biden Scores 14-Point Lead Over Trump in Poll After Debate[/URL] "President Trump is drawing his weakest voter support of the year in his re-election race following [URL='https://www.wsj.com/articles/in-first-debate-trump-and-biden-to-compete-for-few-persuadable-voters-11601387621']Tuesday’s contentious debate[/URL] with former Vice President Joe Biden, a [URL='https://s.wsj.net/public/resources/documents/WSJNBC-Poll-Early-October-2020.pdf']new Wall Street Journal/NBC News poll finds[/URL]. Mr. Biden, the Democratic nominee, leads the president, 53% to 39%, among registered voters in the new poll, which was conducted in the two days following the debate but before news emerged that Mr. Trump had [URL='https://www.wsj.com/livecoverage/trump-tests-positive-covid']tested positive for Covid-19[/URL]. Mr. Biden’s 14-point lead compares with [URL='https://www.wsj.com/articles/biden-leads-trump-by-8-points-in-new-wall-street-journal-nbc-news-poll-11600606801']an 8-point advantage last month[/URL] and [URL='https://www.wsj.com/articles/biden-expands-lead-as-trumps-approval-drops-11594846800?mod=hp_lead_pos7']11 points in July[/URL], which was his largest of the campaign at that time. The survey finds something rare in Journal/NBC News polling: evidence that an individual news event—the debate—is having a material effect on Mr. Trump’s political standing, at least for now. Significant events in the past, such as [URL='https://www.wsj.com/articles/americans-stuck-to-their-views-on-trump-through-impeachment-trial-11580652187']Mr. Trump’s impeachment by the House[/URL] and acquittal by the Senate, had only hardened views of the president, not shifted them. Bill McInturff, a Republican pollster who directed the survey with Democrat Jeff Horwitt, cautioned that the poll was conducted during an unsettled moment after [URL='https://www.wsj.com/articles/what-americans-thought-of-the-first-presidential-debate-11601512051']the caustic presidential debate[/URL]—“a shock to the system,” he called it—and could reflect a temporary reassessment of views. “The public can be taking a moment to say, ‘What did I just see, and how do I feel about it?’” he said. Mr. Trump could regain ground, Mr. McInturff said, given that “he has a history of bouncing back to some set point.” [ATTACH type="full"]312048[/ATTACH] [/QUOTE]
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