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<blockquote data-quote="BadIdeaGuy" data-source="post: 5998475" data-attributes="member: 73381">The only one of those that is actual betting is Polymarket.The rest are just polls.Prediction markets are still infants here in the US.Polymarket is crypto based, and offshore.Predictit is probably the best known here in the US. (And fully legal to use.)Kalshi is a newer one that is legal and regulated in the US too, but I haven&#039;t used it. They had to sue the CFTC to be allowed to operate.Iowa electronic markets is older than dirt and has no volume.Kalshi has Trump at 61%, Polymarket 64%, and Predictit 60%.Those are the only places in the US that I know of to place a wager. (And Polymarket doesn&#039;t allow deposits from declared US citizens)If you can *find* the odds they&#039;re talking about in the article elsewhere, don&#039;t gamble. Arbitrage the difference, and guarantee yourself a nice payday.</blockquote>

[QUOTE="BadIdeaGuy, post: 5998475, member: 73381"] The only one of those that is actual betting is Polymarket. The rest are just polls. Prediction markets are still infants here in the US. Polymarket is crypto based, and offshore. Predictit is probably the best known here in the US. (And fully legal to use.) Kalshi is a newer one that is legal and regulated in the US too, but I haven't used it. They had to sue the CFTC to be allowed to operate. Iowa electronic markets is older than dirt and has no volume. Kalshi has Trump at 61%, Polymarket 64%, and Predictit 60%. Those are the only places in the US that I know of to place a wager. (And Polymarket doesn't allow deposits from declared US citizens) If you can *find* the odds they're talking about in the article elsewhere, don't gamble. Arbitrage the difference, and guarantee yourself a nice payday. [/QUOTE]

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