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<blockquote data-quote="moreluck" data-source="post: 401002" data-attributes="member: 1246"><p>I never heard of this before......</p><p> </p><p>The term <strong>Bradley effect</strong>, less commonly called<a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bradley_effect#cite_note-0" target="_blank"><u><span style="color: #0000ff">[1]</span></u></a> the <strong>Wilder effect</strong>, refers to a frequently observed discrepancy between voter <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Opinion_polls" target="_blank"><u><span style="color: #0000ff">opinion polls</span></u></a> and election outcomes in <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States" target="_blank"><u><span style="color: #0000ff">American</span></u></a> <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Political_campaigns" target="_blank"><u><span style="color: #0000ff">political campaigns</span></u></a> when a <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/White_(race)" target="_blank"><u><span style="color: #0000ff">white</span></u></a> candidate and a <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Minority_group#Racial_or_ethnic_minorities" target="_blank"><u><span style="color: #0000ff">non-white</span></u></a> candidate run against each other.<a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bradley_effect#cite_note-1" target="_blank"><u><span style="color: #0000ff">[2]</span></u></a><a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bradley_effect#cite_note-Reddy20020120-2" target="_blank"><u><span style="color: #0000ff">[3]</span></u></a><a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bradley_effect#cite_note-Elder-3" target="_blank"><u><span style="color: #0000ff">[4]</span></u></a> Named for <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tom_Bradley_(politician)" target="_blank"><u><span style="color: #0000ff">Tom Bradley</span></u></a>, an <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/African-American" target="_blank"><u><span style="color: #0000ff">African-American</span></u></a> who lost the 1982 <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Governor_of_California" target="_blank"><u><span style="color: #0000ff">California governor's</span></u></a> race despite being ahead in voter polls, the Bradley effect refers to a tendency on the part of white voters to tell pollsters that they are undecided or likely to vote for a Black candidate, when, on election day, they vote for his/her white opponent.<a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bradley_effect#cite_note-4" target="_blank"><u><span style="color: #0000ff">[5]</span></u></a></p><p>One theory for the Bradley effect is that some white voters give inaccurate polling responses for fear that, by stating their true preference, they will appear to the <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pollster" target="_blank"><u><span style="color: #0000ff">pollster</span></u></a> to be <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Racist" target="_blank"><u><span style="color: #0000ff">racially prejudiced</span></u></a>. The reluctance to give accurate polling answers has sometimes extended to post-election <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Exit_polls" target="_blank"><u><span style="color: #0000ff">exit polls</span></u></a> as well. The race of the pollster conducting the interview may be a factor into voters' answers. Some pollsters believe that they do not receive deliberately false answers from white voters. The Bradley effect, these pollsters believe, is caused by pollsters' failure to account for general political leanings among voters who are undecided between Democrats and Republicans.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="moreluck, post: 401002, member: 1246"] I never heard of this before...... The term [B]Bradley effect[/B], less commonly called[URL="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bradley_effect#cite_note-0"][U][COLOR=#0000ff][1][/COLOR][/U][/URL] the [B]Wilder effect[/B], refers to a frequently observed discrepancy between voter [URL="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Opinion_polls"][U][COLOR=#0000ff]opinion polls[/COLOR][/U][/URL] and election outcomes in [URL="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States"][U][COLOR=#0000ff]American[/COLOR][/U][/URL] [URL="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Political_campaigns"][U][COLOR=#0000ff]political campaigns[/COLOR][/U][/URL] when a [URL="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/White_(race)"][U][COLOR=#0000ff]white[/COLOR][/U][/URL] candidate and a [URL="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Minority_group#Racial_or_ethnic_minorities"][U][COLOR=#0000ff]non-white[/COLOR][/U][/URL] candidate run against each other.[URL="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bradley_effect#cite_note-1"][U][COLOR=#0000ff][2][/COLOR][/U][/URL][URL="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bradley_effect#cite_note-Reddy20020120-2"][U][COLOR=#0000ff][3][/COLOR][/U][/URL][URL="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bradley_effect#cite_note-Elder-3"][U][COLOR=#0000ff][4][/COLOR][/U][/URL] Named for [URL="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tom_Bradley_(politician)"][U][COLOR=#0000ff]Tom Bradley[/COLOR][/U][/URL], an [URL="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/African-American"][U][COLOR=#0000ff]African-American[/COLOR][/U][/URL] who lost the 1982 [URL="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Governor_of_California"][U][COLOR=#0000ff]California governor's[/COLOR][/U][/URL] race despite being ahead in voter polls, the Bradley effect refers to a tendency on the part of white voters to tell pollsters that they are undecided or likely to vote for a Black candidate, when, on election day, they vote for his/her white opponent.[URL="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bradley_effect#cite_note-4"][U][COLOR=#0000ff][5][/COLOR][/U][/URL] One theory for the Bradley effect is that some white voters give inaccurate polling responses for fear that, by stating their true preference, they will appear to the [URL="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pollster"][U][COLOR=#0000ff]pollster[/COLOR][/U][/URL] to be [URL="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Racist"][U][COLOR=#0000ff]racially prejudiced[/COLOR][/U][/URL]. The reluctance to give accurate polling answers has sometimes extended to post-election [URL="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Exit_polls"][U][COLOR=#0000ff]exit polls[/COLOR][/U][/URL] as well. The race of the pollster conducting the interview may be a factor into voters' answers. Some pollsters believe that they do not receive deliberately false answers from white voters. The Bradley effect, these pollsters believe, is caused by pollsters' failure to account for general political leanings among voters who are undecided between Democrats and Republicans. [/QUOTE]
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