DELACROIX
In the Spirit of Honore' Daumier
The national being voted down, doesn't mean there will be a strike. Strike would be costly on both sides. So IMO it would be unlikely. But the national being voted down, I think it is very possible.
The contract will never be allowed to be put out for vote if it is not approved by the International and/or their committees (remember l997). Just too much to lose to risk a fear driven outcome.
The purpose of a strike vote is to draw a line, it is not an extension of the old contract. It would be similar to what the UPS Airline Mechanics have been going through, without the ability to put a work stoppage in action the company will drag their feet with the anticipation of wearing down the membership's resolve.