dow jones

newfie

Well-Known Member
So far I have not seen any sign of a downturn. 3% unemployment,
2 quarters of a recession and projections the next quarter will also be down. 3.5 unemployment percent to be exact with
wages are up,
not keeping up with inflation
commercial and residential building is booming.
do you believe that will continue with interest rates going up dramatically?
If your 401k or IRA took a hit it is because you made some poor investment decisions.
stock market is down 15 percent. if you have the right picks then you should be running your own financial investment service.

like i said bet the house and tell us how it goes.
 
2 quarters of a recession and projections the next quarter will also be down. 3.5 unemployment percent to be exact with

not keeping up with inflation

do you believe that will continue with interest rates going up dramatically?

stock market is down 15 percent. if you have the right picks then you should be running your own financial investment service.

like i said bet the house and tell us how it goes.
It's dark times right now but the government will not list the market collapse

You may be paying $7 for a banana....
 

newfie

Well-Known Member
It's dark times right now but the government will not list the market collapse

You may be paying $7 for a banana....
they let it collapse in 2009.

they let it collapse in the late 70's and early 80's when inflation and the feds drove the prime rate up to 20 percent.

some would argue that recessions of some type are a necessary evil for a number of reasons.
you can adjust for a recession and make better investment decisions that minimize the pain and may even result in a small return.

but @PT Car Washer shining a turd just to defend his parties mismanagement of this economy does not do anyone any good.
 
they let it collapse in 2009.

they let it collapse in the late 70's and early 80's when inflation and the feds drove the prime rate up to 20 percent.

some would argue that recessions of some type are a necessary evil for a number of reasons.
you can adjust for a recession and make better investment decisions that minimize the pain and may even result in a small return.

but @PT Car Washer shining a turd just to defend his parties mismanagement of this economy does not do anyone any good.
In the 1970s Adele had a 5% return for the whole decade
From 2000 to 2010 the s&P had a total return of a negative 1.9%
 

Up In Smoke

Well-Known Member
so you dont think adding trillions to government spending increases inflation?

the formula seems pretty simple. if your economy has too much money competing for the same products than the price of the product goes up.
We've spent 100ish trillion dollars over the last 20 years without major inflation spikes. IMO, we had a great opportunity to gain control of fiscal policies in 2019 and the Fed flinched. The time between then and now we have done little but throw money at our problems. Too much spending, too much subsidizing, too many programs, too many takers and now rubber band can't take anymore without snapping us back. No politician is willing to step up and say no more for fear of losing their seat. Instead they talk tough on the campaign trail and cave in the Capital.
 

newfie

Well-Known Member
We've spent 100ish trillion dollars over the last 20 years without major inflation spikes. IMO, we had a great opportunity to gain control of fiscal policies in 2019 and the Fed flinched. The time between then and now we have done little but throw money at our problems. Too much spending, too much subsidizing, too many programs, too many takers and now rubber band can't take anymore without snapping us back. No politician is willing to step up and say no more for fear of losing their seat. Instead they talk tough on the campaign trail and cave in the Capital.
i think we somewhat agree.
we've spent about 8 trillion in the last three years. our government spends like drunken sailors but they've never flooded the eocnomy with bucks like they have the last couple of years.

fiscal responsibility does not even have to mean making cuts just slowing the rate of increase.
the trump tax cuts did actually increase our revenue when implemented. the problem was the spending went up even more.
the whole process is too cooked and complicated for the general public to understand it and hold them accountable.
 

Up In Smoke

Well-Known Member
i think we somewhat agree.
we've spent about 8 trillion in the last three years. our government spends like drunken sailors but they've never flooded the eocnomy with bucks like they have the last couple of years.

fiscal responsibility does not even have to mean making cuts just slowing the rate of increase.
the trump tax cuts did actually increase our revenue when implemented. the problem was the spending went up even more.
the whole process is too cooked and complicated for the general public to understand it and hold them accountable.
Yes, I believe we see the world in much the same way. If somehow we could force term limits into our local, state and federal laws, I believe we could come together and solve a lot of these issues. The party politics is sickening.
 

Up In Smoke

Well-Known Member
Do you have any facts to back up your fantasy?
It's impossible to say the tax cuts created the increase in revenues or just the fact that more people went to work each month. Revenues increased but not at the same rate as spending. It's important to remember that government spending contributes to both tax revenues and GDP. Revenues 2016: 6T, 2017: 6.1T, 2018: 6.5T, 2019: 6.8T, 2020: 6.8T, 2021: 7.7T. Spending 2015: 6.4T, 2016: 6.7T, 2017: 7T, 2018: 7.2T, 2019: 7.7T, 2020: 10T, 2021: 10T. That's a lot of government.
 

vantexan

Well-Known Member
It's impossible to say the tax cuts created the increase in revenues or just the fact that more people went to work each month. Revenues increased but not at the same rate as spending. It's important to remember that government spending contributes to both tax revenues and GDP. Revenues 2016: 6T, 2017: 6.1T, 2018: 6.5T, 2019: 6.8T, 2020: 6.8T, 2021: 7.7T. Spending 2015: 6.4T, 2016: 6.7T, 2017: 7T, 2018: 7.2T, 2019: 7.7T, 2020: 10T, 2021: 10T. That's a lot of government.
The tax cuts meant more being kept by business and individuals which meant more spending and more hiring. Thus more taxes overall collected. JFK was famous for pointing this out. I wonder if he would be a Republican today or a liberal like Teddy?
 
The tax cuts meant more being kept by business and individuals which meant more spending and more hiring. Thus more taxes overall collected. JFK was famous for pointing this out. I wonder if he would be a Republican today or a liberal like Teddy?
With unemployment being in a record low I guess social security should be in better shape?
 
A lot of people are not contributing to the social security system..getting paid under the table, cash only..illegal immigrants...welfare recipients...etc
That has always been the case but on the other hand for employment has been at a record low

I really hate this suggest another tax because it always goes up

But the flat tax system would weed out a lot of the underground economy
 

rickyb

Well-Known Member
That has always been the case but on the other hand for employment has been at a record low

I really hate this suggest another tax because it always goes up

But the flat tax system would weed out a lot of the underground economy
reagan and clinton fudged unemployment numbers to lower it

im not sure whats going on with unemployment. maybe alot of ppl leaving work bc of covid
 
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