Still that's going on 35 years...
Yep. At some point everyone will basically be a computer programmer.We have to ask ourselves how far we want to take such technology, since the largest sector of employment is transportation. That's a massive amount of displaced jobs. Point A to point B driving jobs would go first. Jobs like ours with 150 stops a day will require a corresponding android to accomplish the deliveries, not just a self driving truck.
Society can't stop the progression of technology for the sake of job pretection. It never has. But you have to wonder when the tipping point occurs when computers/machines/robots become so entrenched that there isn't much work left for humans. What will become of us?
At the start, the population will demand that a driver will demand that a real driver will be in the cab for safety reason. Eventually the pay for this driver will drop to McDonald's level or below to finally the public will see this as an entitlement job and demand that they are removed.
We have to ask ourselves how far we want to take such technology, since the largest sector of employment is transportation. That's a massive amount of displaced jobs. Point A to point B driving jobs would go first. Jobs like ours with 150 stops a day will require a corresponding android to accomplish the deliveries, not just a self driving truck.
Society can't stop the progression of technology for the sake of job pretection. It never has. But you have to wonder when the tipping point occurs when computers/machines/robots become so entrenched that there isn't much work left for humans. What will become of us?
Sorry for duplicate posts, can't delete
Sorry for duplicate posts, can't delete
And one final thing to Brownslave and other package car drivers thinking this only affects feeder drivers: even if this driving technology could be figured out and implemented, the same technology would apply equally to package cars. A computer could just as easily drive a package car as it could a tractor. Meaning, it would turn PC drivers into full-time, computer driver helpers. It would drive, and you would run off all of the packages. I don't think it would work anymore than it would for feeder drivers, but the idea is identical.
More cops, military, lawyers, politicians, and prisonersYep. At some point everyone will basically be a computer programmer.
Hypothetical scenario:
You are traveling at or under the 35 MPH speed limit and approaching an intersection with a fresh green light. The only pedestrian you can see is an alert-looking woman pushing a baby stroller who makes direct eye contact with you. Based upon the eye contact, you proceed through the intersection.
Replace that woman with a man wearing dark sunglasses and tapping the ground with a white cane. Or an obviously drunk man staggering towards the crosswalk. Or a child chasing a ball. Do you still proceed through the intersection? And how can a computer make the same distinctions that you just did?
A fancy version of cruise control with a driver still there to take over if needed.
That's pretty simple really. Cameras radar lasers microchips imbedded in the road. All letting the car know the dangers ahead a half mile before you could even see the crosswalk.Hypothetical scenario:
You are traveling at or under the 35 MPH speed limit and approaching an intersection with a fresh green light. The only pedestrian you can see is an alert-looking woman pushing a baby stroller who makes direct eye contact with you. Based upon the eye contact, you proceed through the intersection.
Replace that woman with a man wearing dark sunglasses and tapping the ground with a white cane. Or an obviously drunk man staggering towards the crosswalk. Or a child chasing a ball. Do you still proceed through the intersection? And how can a computer make the same distinctions that you just did?
Pulling from point a to b is much easier than programming 100 time dependent stops.
How do the cameras and lasers and microchips distinguish between an alert pedestrian who can properly yield the right of way versus a blind/distracted/drunk pedestrian who cant? Or will the driverless vehicle simply stop at every single intersection, regardless of whether it has the right of way or not? If so, the resulting traffic tie-ups will be a nightmare and the public will demand a solution.That's pretty simple really. Cameras radar lasers microchips imbedded in the road. All letting the car know the dangers ahead a half mile before you could even see the crosswalk.
A computer could easily distinguish between the two but this is where the problem lies.Hypothetical scenario:
You are traveling down a tree-lined rural road at or under the 45 MPH speed limit when a dog darts out into the road directly in front of you. You realize that you cannot stop in time to avoid the dog without leaving the road and hitting a tree or swerving into the oncoming lane and hitting another car head on, so you make the correct decision to slow down as much as possible and run over the dog.
Now replace that dog with a child. Are you still making the correct decision by running it over, or does the value of that child's life demand that you avoid it by any means necessary, including swerving off the road and into a tree?
The answer to that question is obvious, of course....but how will a computer be able to distinguish between a dog and a child? And how will a computer be able to make split-second value judgements when deciding which course of action will be the lesser of two evils?
How do the cameras and lasers and microchips distinguish between an alert pedestrian who can properly yield the right of way versus a blind/distracted/drunk pedestrian who cant? Or will the driverless vehicle simply stop at every single intersection, regardless of whether it has the right of way or not? If so, the resulting traffic tie-ups will be a nightmare and the public will demand a solution.
They claim they already detect people well. I assume they will adjust their path and or slow down. Adjusting path may include taking a different path to the destination if possible. When it knows kids are playing in the street. The cars will most likely talk to each other and will most likely. Tell other cars that it thinks it sees a drunk,blind person, and kida in an area and for other cars to be more carefulHow do the cameras and lasers and microchips distinguish between an alert pedestrian who can properly yield the right of way versus a blind/distracted/drunk pedestrian who cant? Or will the driverless vehicle simply stop at every single intersection, regardless of whether it has the right of way or not? If so, the resulting traffic tie-ups will be a nightmare and the public will demand a solution.
The difference is you and I can't give that pedestrian our full attention or stare right at them. There are too many other things going on. A computer can equally and fully evaluate dozens of threats all at once. Meaning it's reaction will be virtually instananeous.How do the cameras and lasers and microchips distinguish between an alert pedestrian who can properly yield the right of way versus a blind/distracted/drunk pedestrian who cant? Or will the driverless vehicle simply stop at every single intersection, regardless of whether it has the right of way or not? If so, the resulting traffic tie-ups will be a nightmare and the public will demand a solution.