Easily two centuries at present usage. Look it up. And we aren't talking about rare earth metals which are a classification by themselves. Instead of trying to win arguments just look up the facts. You cite what oil executives say. Look up what mining execs say. If you want to put everyone on electric bikes backed by public transportation it's doable. I'm not joking. If you're truly serious about climate change and dealing with it with the resources we have then that's a pathway. Would cut way down on auto accidents too.Two more centuries of oil? We'll be lucky if we can get two more decades given increased demand. Yes, control of rare earth minerals including those in South America and China which has 70% of them will become a highly competitive and adversarial point of global contention.
Public transportation is without question the future mode of transportation for the bulk of the population. Yes, the rich will likely be the ones with the private cars.....but, what if the evolution of public transportation allows for it to not having to share the roads with those privileged few. They can then pay to for the upkeep of the millions of miles of American highways all by themselves.