Post Trippin
Member
I sure as hell do not plan on throwing away a $1100/mo benefit for UPS' chump offer.
You're wrong.
First off, the offer applies to a pair of company-sponsored plans, of which most participants are PTers and management. Most FTers are covered by Teamster-sponsored (and joint Teamster/company-sponsored) plans, but some may be covered by these two plans (I really don't know). And there's also a plethora of FTers like yourself with significant credit from their PT years in these company-sponsored plans.
Secondly, the law enables companies to tie the discount to an arbitrary corporate bonds discount rate. Here's an article from the WSJ discussion the near-8% discount rates calculated in pension buyout offers:
Tax Policies Spur Companies to Offer Pension Buyouts
Bottom line: unless you're in poor health, or have a family history of poor health, the pension buyout will not be a good deal. A conservative portfolio will not come close to achieving a return equal to the discount rate and there's a 50% chance you'll live past 83 (a number that keeps increasing).
Like I said, I recognize that most people will take the offer (and many will blow it within months rather than saving it toward retirement). That doesn't make it a good deal.
I hate to be the party pooper but...
I'll make this simple. UPS is making this offer because beginning January 1, the IRS is adapting longer average life expectancy (which increases the per-person pension liability) and providing limited governance on discount (interest) rates being used in pension buyout calculations.
The latter is of extreme importance here: basically, UPS is offering the present value of your future annuity payments. There's two major factors here: time and discount (interest) rate. Consider the time factor -- two employees left UPS after about 15 years, accruing a $900/month benefit. One employee is only 33, the other is 64 -- even though on paper both employees have the same liability, because one has only 1 year to wait to collect whereas the other has 32 years, the older employee will receive a much larger offer, because $900/month will have more purchasing power next year than it will 32 years from now.
The discount (interest) rate is more critical. Right now, that interest rate is largely up to the employer. Most large companies offering buyouts are using discount rates in the high 7s - 10%, which makes the buyout a really, really bad idea. In other words, whatever amount offered to you today would need to earn 7%-10% annually to equate the amount you would've otherwise earned in the payouts. That's likely not going to happen. (The discount rates also means that most of you are dreaming given the amounts you've listed).
Reality is, UPS's offer will not be favorable. If you received this offer, you're in a pension whose full value is guaranteed by the government. Taking the buyout is a really bad idea unless you or your family has a history of health problems and you think you'll perish long before the IRS assumes you will (83 for men, IIRC). Buyouts are such a bad idea that the government will soon begin somewhat policing them, which is why you received this offer when you did to begin with.
That said, many of you will be tempted by the lump sum amounts and will take the offer, anyway. If you do, note that if the amount is directly rolled over into a retirement account, you will not be impacted by taxes. If the amount is directly paid to you, 20% will be withheld for taxes. If you deposit the entire amount (including the taxes that were withheld -- you need to come up with extra cash in other words) into a retirement account within 60 days, you will not be subject to any taxes. Withholdings are simply deposits toward your tax liability, which isn't calculated until you actually file your taxes. If you don't deposit the money into a retirement account, it'll be subject to a 10% penalty + taxes (which may be more or less what was withheld, depending on your liability).
BTW, according to my recent plan notice, there are 197,313 participants at 12/31/15, of which 9,883 were collecting benefits, 39,219 had vested but left the company and 148,211 were still employed. So if you received this notice, you're one of the 39,219.
I hate to be the party pooper but...
I'll make this simple. UPS is making this offer because beginning January 1, the IRS is adapting longer average life expectancy (which increases the per-person pension liability) and providing limited governance on discount (interest) rates being used in pension buyout calculations.
The latter is of extreme importance here: basically, UPS is offering the present value of your future annuity payments. There's two major factors here: time and discount (interest) rate. Consider the time factor -- two employees left UPS after about 15 years, accruing a $900/month benefit. One employee is only 33, the other is 64 -- even though on paper both employees have the same liability, because one has only 1 year to wait to collect whereas the other has 32 years, the older employee will receive a much larger offer, because $900/month will have more purchasing power next year than it will 32 years from now.
The discount (interest) rate is more critical. Right now, that interest rate is largely up to the employer. Most large companies offering buyouts are using discount rates in the high 7s - 10%, which makes the buyout a really, really bad idea. In other words, whatever amount offered to you today would need to earn 7%-10% annually to equate the amount you would've otherwise earned in the payouts. That's likely not going to happen. (The discount rates also means that most of you are dreaming given the amounts you've listed).
Reality is, UPS's offer will not be favorable. If you received this offer, you're in a pension whose full value is guaranteed by the government. Taking the buyout is a really bad idea unless you or your family has a history of health problems and you think you'll perish long before the IRS assumes you will (83 for men, IIRC). Buyouts are such a bad idea that the government will soon begin somewhat policing them, which is why you received this offer when you did to begin with.
That said, many of you will be tempted by the lump sum amounts and will take the offer, anyway. If you do, note that if the amount is directly rolled over into a retirement account, you will not be impacted by taxes. If the amount is directly paid to you, 20% will be withheld for taxes. If you deposit the entire amount (including the taxes that were withheld -- you need to come up with extra cash in other words) into a retirement account within 60 days, you will not be subject to any taxes. Withholdings are simply deposits toward your tax liability, which isn't calculated until you actually file your taxes. If you don't deposit the money into a retirement account, it'll be subject to a 10% penalty + taxes (which may be more or less what was withheld, depending on your liability).
BTW, according to my recent plan notice, there are 197,313 participants at 12/31/15, of which 9,883 were collecting benefits, 39,219 had vested but left the company and 148,211 were still employed. So if you received this notice, you're one of the 39,219.
It will not affect your SSD but they will probably ask for an explanation if it is reported on your W2.Hi Bagel, I received the same UPS Special Pension Payment Offer Card a few days ago.
I worked for UPS a total of 16 years part time. I became disabled in 2006 so I had to resign. I'm eligible for my pension at age 55. Still have 5 years to go. I currently receive Social Security disability. Do you know if I'll be hit with the 20% tax and the 10% penalty? I 'm wondering if I take the lump sum if it will affect my social security disability. I've never experienced a buyout before. Do you have any advice? Where do I go ask questions? Thanks margincharge
Hi Bagel, I received the same UPS Special Pension Payment Offer Card a few days ago.
I worked for UPS a total of 16 years part time. I became disabled in 2006 so I had to resign. I'm eligible for my pension at age 55. Still have 5 years to go. I currently receive Social Security disability. Do you know if I'll be hit with the 20% tax and the 10% penalty? I 'm wondering if I take the lump sum if it will affect my social security disability. I've never experienced a buyout before. Do you have any advice? Where do I go ask questions? Thanks margincharge
I sure as hell do not plan on throwing away a $1100/mo benefit for UPS' chump offer.
Everybody is an expert...
Just like a typical UPSer.
Wasn't mocking anybody in particular. So slow your roll.
"Choose your words carefully"
Lol - that's funny.
Enough already. Good gravy.
I didn't realize there were that many financial experts that work or used to work at UPS.
That's all I'm saying.
Go sort a package would ya...
Get a jump start on Peak Season.
Big Brown needs you.
I don't believe anything from an UPSer.
No thanks. Grown ups are A-holes. So are folks that wave their college degree around. Typical.
Bagels, do you see them possibly "sweetening the pot" for those who refuse their initial buyout offer?
If we could just keep on topic that would be great . This is a very important issue and any valid advice is much appreciated . My husband still has 12 yrs to go till retirement age . So this buyout can be critical to our future. We have a child with a life long medical condition so we have different planning needs . So stop the name calling and let's just stick to providing useful information.