By Invitation Only

Brownslave688

You want a toe? I can get you a toe.
The problem is people think that a 5 day forecast should be 100% accurate, which it isn't. The models are really designed to be 90% accurate to 3 days.

Not to mention people see the cone and think it's going right down the middle. That is the area where the eye wall can travel over the forecast period
Well duh that's why the cone gets wider
 

oldngray

nowhere special
photos-9-14.jpg
 

MyTripisCut

Never bought my own handtruck
I don't think people appreciate the complexity of forecasting. The computers they use to run the models are among the biggest and most powerful in the world, but it still takes 4 hours for it to spit out results.

Its a no win for the forecasters. Underestimate and people die, overestimate and people bitch.

Sounds like PDS 101 at ups. Except they are really really dumb and obnoxious. And dumb. And I wanna punch them in the ears. And dumb.
 
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