As much as we all say UPS will screw up something as simple as getting their way out of a paper bag, I do not think UPS will just lay off all the new drivers they have been bringing out. Peak was a media disaster last year that left a stain on our shield. And yes, Fedex too.
What they will do, my hunch anyway, is send out drivers a little lighter then usual. They will peal off some housing developments, and build some small mostly residential routes for the new hires to run. These routes will not have to be 8 hours as the new drivers are not entitled to 8 hour guarantee. I believe, if a center is over staffed come early fall, and they do not have enough volunteers to take a layoff, they will bite the bullet for the 4-6 weeks and send out drivers lighter to build these small residential routes to get the new drivers some experience.
They will also lay off some of the new summer hires, who have no seniority so they can then bring out a few more new hires and get them up to speed. Then as peak nears bring back the layed off non-senioirty drivers. This would work in a building like mine as we have already exhausted all inside hires. The new drivers coming out now have no inside experience. Just another hunch.
Just my opinion and perhaps I am putting to much faith in brown. Peak is really not that far away. Trips in my center have gotten helpers in October.