zubenelgenubi
I'm a star
I just think we need to be careful about the conclusions we draw from these metadata studies. For one, definitions of "asymptomatic" and "symptomatic"... I remember a WHO study that studied "asymptomatic" spread and they were referring to all people who were asymptomatic in a group, not necessarily those who were identified as COVID positive who were also asymptomatic for a time before they started showing any symptoms. They lumped everyone in together and created a lot of confusion for the Internet armchair epidemiologists.
Again, thanks for sharing. But I think the balance of evidence is strongly in favor of a higher level of asymptomatic spread through society in general than what you're suggesting. Have a good day, man.
I'm willing to accept the possibility that asymptomatic spread is a factor, because it is consistent with the fact that most people are asymptomatic, or develop very mild symptoms, when considered with the number of cases. But that is also as consistent with both faulty tests/testing and the wrong strategy for testing.
If we treated this like any other respiratory virus, it is likely only people who ended up hospitalized would be tested, and the numbers we see would barely register. This test everyone and keep retesting indefinitely is a wasteful and uniformative approach.
As for household transmission, there's really no reason to question it. This has always been the most likely avenue of transmission for respiratory illness. Which is why stay at home orders were a complete travesty. It's almost like the people making decisions never encountered a respiratory illness, or even read about one. Completely clueless.