Anyone Afraid Of Inflation?

Up In Smoke

Well-Known Member
Is good news bad again. CPI, PPI and initial claims are all better than expected. The VIX drops 20% in two days to a 12 handle and multiple companies report better than expected earnings and profits. I believe we may be in line for a pull back or profit taking sell off, so set your stop loses and reload for the 4th quarter.
 

Over70irregs

Well-Known Member
Is good news bad again. CPI, PPI and initial claims are all better than expected. The VIX drops 20% in two days to a 12 handle and multiple companies report better than expected earnings and profits. I believe we may be in line for a pull back or profit taking sell off, so set your stop loses and reload for the 4th quarter.
They are crazy with those cooked books. The grocery store during break tells me otherwise.
 

Up In Smoke

Well-Known Member
The Midwest does have some advantages.
 

Attachments

  • PXL_20230714_004118256.jpg
    PXL_20230714_004118256.jpg
    515.5 KB · Views: 45

Over70irregs

Well-Known Member
Guys I’m hearing trucking freight volume is falling into a ditch. Do Not get comfortable with negotiating talks……. Guy also says it’s an indicator of 12-18 months ahead economy wise. Prepare for a hammering. Hopefully I’m wrong. (Think YELLOW FREIGHT)
 

Wally

BrownCafe Innovator & King of Puns
We really need strong COLA protection because if the article is correct, UPS in their greed may trigger massive inflation!
 

Up In Smoke

Well-Known Member
The Cass Transportation Index tracks domestic freight volumes and we are seeing slow down in volumes. The volumes over the last 2 decades see saw back and forth as demand does the same. The current volumes are trending down, but no where near the previous down cycle of 2018-19. The report shows most cycles last 20-24 months.
 

Over70irregs

Well-Known Member
The Cass Transportation Index tracks domestic freight volumes and we are seeing slow down in volumes. The volumes over the last 2 decades see saw back and forth as demand does the same. The current volumes are trending down, but no where near the previous down cycle of 2018-19. The report shows most cycles last 20-24 months.
Which begs the question of how are people still spending with rates so high?
 

Up In Smoke

Well-Known Member
Which begs the question of how are people still spending with rates so high?
Consumer spending is still strong. Companies that have reported so far are beating top and bottom line numbers. Employment is strong and wages continue to rise at or near inflation numbers year over year. Interest rates have slowed the number of products and services, but not the amount of dollars spent.
 

Over70irregs

Well-Known Member
Consumer spending is still strong. Companies that have reported so far are beating top and bottom line numbers. Employment is strong and wages continue to rise at or near inflation numbers year over year. Interest rates have slowed the number of products and services, but not the amount of dollars spent.
Credit line incrementation. They’re paying the minimums.
 
Top