ups79 said:
wkmac:do you think "SAWman", who onces posted here could be "SKILLman" as in Van?
No, Skillman and Saw are not the same person IMO and here's my reason why. When Sawman first appeared and started talking about taking the raises for the next 2 years and buying out our credit from CS, etc. so that we all could get the $7000 per month at 30 years, OK2BC and I talked privately email(I think My2Cents was also in some of that) about this and the whole APWA idea. After looking at their website, I decided one day to email APWA on this issue to see what would happen, because to me the numbers just didn't add up. It was Skillman himself who responded back and he told me there was no such plan nor in his mind would such a plan even work. He and I exchanged a number of lengthy emails on APWA, the IBT and a number of issues we face. Skillman was very honest to me IMO as what of any benefit I would get from the APWA retirement plan unless I was willing to work the few extra years I was going to have to work away as a result of the CS changes. Under the proposed APWA plan for example had it been in place at the time we talked, I could earn enough credit to get nearly $3k per month from APWA. Basically, those 7 extra years would get me what I would have gotten from CS before the 03' changes. Far cry from the $7k per month and Skillman himself is also in the same boat. His belief is he sees no changes to CS in the future and in fact they would likely get worse so if he has to work the years anyway, why not take a chance and make it as worth you while as you can and I don't disagree with that thinking at all. If like myself, you already believe at some point in your future that CS will go bellyup anyway, you got very little if anything to loose and this is at the heart of it all. Even OK and I basically agreed on that point.
Take all things into consideration, the demographics of a shrinking IBT/CS membership, etc. and barring say for example a huge membership increase say from a complete IBT unionizing of Fedex (don't hold you breath) I just don't see the needed influx of monies to get us back to where we once were. With add pressures of rising healthcare costs added to the beginning of the babyboomer explosion into the CS pension plans and you've got the makings of a looming disaster. The IBT has no cloat or power to get the employers, especially UPS to pony up at the contract to pay for all of this so forget that idea.
Skillman believes, and I can very much agree with this that since so many factors point to a CS trainwreck at some point in the future but with UPS only and it's strenght and global growth of it's employee base that the demographics suggest many of the factors threatening the survival of CS work just the opposite with UPS and a UPS only plan. Using that model and with the current amounts paid in weekly, they came up with the current plan that a employee working under their plan for 30 years could draw $7k per month. Also this retirement bonus being bounced around of several/ several $k lumpsum payout at retirement? I never once heard Skillman raise this or discuss this at all. He told me of his concerns that people are taking liberties and throwing out ideas that are not a part of the APWA mix.
The bottomline is I don't believe Skillman and Sawman are the same because in our emails he never showed the same style as saw nor did he defend or discuss the issues in the same manner. Both OK2BC and M2C is my memory is correct have some (OK2BC) has all the emails that went between myself and Skillman. Like myself, M2C was receptive to the APWA idea whereas OK liked the UPS only union thinking but had his doubts about APWA being the answer and he had some good points on that too and I respected that.
I don't think APWA will ever replace the IBT completely but in time and especially depending on how this next contract goes, I wouldn't be surprised at all to see somewhere in the South (probably North Carolina) one or even some UPS sites de-certify the IBT and certify APWA. APWA may get the chance to prove itself so they better be ready.
c ya!