dow jones

floridays

Well-Known Member
Gambled, didn't invest.

. The public buys the most at the top and the least at the bottom.
I guess if 1929 happens again only the gamblers lose, not the "investors?"

I guess the term "depression kid" and how they thought and acted was derived from their parents gambling everything away?

A lesson I learned early is that there is nothing new in Wall Street. There can't be because speculation is as old as the hills. Whatever happens in the stock market today has happened before and will happen again.
I guess I'm guessing too much.
Walk me through how it works.
I'm not a market wizard, but other peoples decisions which I have no control over can definitely affect my outcome.

I'm no gambler either, financial markets, sports, nothing beyond the gambles getting out of bed and meeting what the day offers. .

This post is not meant to attack what you said, it's an honest search for answers.
 

Wally

BrownCafe Innovator & King of Puns
I guess if 1929 happens again only the gamblers lose, not the "investors?"

I guess the term "depression kid" and how they thought and acted was derived from their parents gambling everything away?


I guess I'm guessing too much.
Walk me through how it works.
I'm not a market wizard, but other peoples decisions which I have no control over can definitely affect my outcome.

I'm no gambler either, financial markets, sports, nothing beyond the gambles getting out of bed and meeting what the day offers. .

This post is not meant to attack what you said, it's an honest search for answers.
Not every stock was wiped out after the crash. If you needed that money to survive, the market is not for you. Some were borrowing to buy stock or buying on margin.
 
Last edited:

floridays

Well-Known Member
Not every stock was wiped out after the crash. If you needed that money to survive, the market is not for you.
That is understood.

Back to the larger question I was asking.

Most people in 1929 had no personal involvement with the stock market, today most with jobs and 401k's or pension plans do, and those that don't will be affected by a crash as well.

Kinda like how supply side affects all for the better, in the inverse a depression has the same effect, gamblers, investors, and non-participants alike.

I guess my bottom line is all gamblers, intelligent investors like you, and people with no personal monetary exposure to the market when it happens again (as you said it would,) will lose.

I'm just trying to understand.
 

Up In Smoke

Well-Known Member
That is understood.

Back to the larger question I was asking.

Most people in 1929 had no personal involvement with the stock market, today most with jobs and 401k's or pension plans do, and those that don't will be affected by a crash as well.

Kinda like how supply side affects all for the better, in the inverse a depression has the same effect, gamblers, investors, and non-participants alike.

I guess my bottom line is all gamblers, intelligent investors like you, and people with no personal monetary exposure to the market when it happens again (as you said it would,) will lose.

I'm just trying to understand.
Not necessarily true. Most stocks have as many long positions (they want the stock to increase in value) as short positions (wanting it to decrease in value). So, if the market does crash only half the money will be lost. That being said, the companies themselves will be financially destroyed, thus causing massive unemployment, recession and bankruptcies.
 

Up In Smoke

Well-Known Member
Wally is correct. The Great Depression reeked so much havoc because of margin investing. A few made millions, while the masses lost everything. I always back my long positions with some sort of downside insurance. I'm down this year, but only marginally (see what I did there).
 

Thebrownblob

Well-Known Member
stock market ponzi down 25%.

bubble in process of popping
YearAverage
Closing Price
Year OpenYear HighYear LowYear CloseAnnual
% Change
202234,401.6236,585.0636,799.6531,730.3031,730.30-12.68%
202134,055.2930,223.8936,488.6329,982.6236,338.3018.73%
202026,890.6728,868.8030,606.4818,591.9330,606.487.25%
201926,379.5523,346.2428,645.2622,686.2228,538.4422.34%
201825,046.8624,824.0126,828.3921,792.2023,327.46-5.63%
201721,750.2019,881.7624,837.5119,732.4024,719.2225.08%
201617,927.1117,148.9419,974.6215,660.1819,762.6013.42%
201517,587.0317,832.9918,312.3915,666.4417,425.03-2.23%
201416,777.6916,441.3518,053.7115,372.8017,823.077.52%
201315,009.5213,412.5516,576.6613,328.8516,576.6626.50%
201212,966.4412,397.3813,610.1512,101.4613,104.147.26%
201111,957.5711,670.7512,810.5410,655.3012,217.565.53%
201010,668.5810,583.9611,585.389,686.4811,577.5111.02%
20098,885.659,034.6910,548.516,547.0510,428.0518.82%
200811,244.0613,043.9613,058.207,552.298,776.39-33.84%
200713,178.2612,474.5214,164.5312,050.4113,264.826.43%
200611,409.7810,847.4112,510.5710,667.3912,463.1516.29%
200510,546.6610,729.4310,940.5510,012.3610,717.50-0.61%
200410,315.5110,409.8510,854.549,749.9910,783.013.15%
20039,006.648,607.5210,453.927,524.0610,453.9225.32%

Please don’t cherry pick, the general trend over the last 20 years is by far up.
 
YearAverage
Closing Price
Year OpenYear HighYear LowYear CloseAnnual
% Change
202234,401.6236,585.0636,799.6531,730.3031,730.30-12.68%
202134,055.2930,223.8936,488.6329,982.6236,338.3018.73%
202026,890.6728,868.8030,606.4818,591.9330,606.487.25%
201926,379.5523,346.2428,645.2622,686.2228,538.4422.34%
201825,046.8624,824.0126,828.3921,792.2023,327.46-5.63%
201721,750.2019,881.7624,837.5119,732.4024,719.2225.08%
201617,927.1117,148.9419,974.6215,660.1819,762.6013.42%
201517,587.0317,832.9918,312.3915,666.4417,425.03-2.23%
201416,777.6916,441.3518,053.7115,372.8017,823.077.52%
201315,009.5213,412.5516,576.6613,328.8516,576.6626.50%
201212,966.4412,397.3813,610.1512,101.4613,104.147.26%
201111,957.5711,670.7512,810.5410,655.3012,217.565.53%
201010,668.5810,583.9611,585.389,686.4811,577.5111.02%
20098,885.659,034.6910,548.516,547.0510,428.0518.82%
200811,244.0613,043.9613,058.207,552.298,776.39-33.84%
200713,178.2612,474.5214,164.5312,050.4113,264.826.43%
200611,409.7810,847.4112,510.5710,667.3912,463.1516.29%
200510,546.6610,729.4310,940.5510,012.3610,717.50-0.61%
200410,315.5110,409.8510,854.549,749.9910,783.013.15%
20039,006.648,607.5210,453.927,524.0610,453.9225.32%

Please don’t cherry pick, the general trend over the last 20 years is by far up.
image002.jpg

 

rickyb

Well-Known Member
YearAverage
Closing Price
Year OpenYear HighYear LowYear CloseAnnual
% Change
202234,401.6236,585.0636,799.6531,730.3031,730.30-12.68%
202134,055.2930,223.8936,488.6329,982.6236,338.3018.73%
202026,890.6728,868.8030,606.4818,591.9330,606.487.25%
201926,379.5523,346.2428,645.2622,686.2228,538.4422.34%
201825,046.8624,824.0126,828.3921,792.2023,327.46-5.63%
201721,750.2019,881.7624,837.5119,732.4024,719.2225.08%
201617,927.1117,148.9419,974.6215,660.1819,762.6013.42%
201517,587.0317,832.9918,312.3915,666.4417,425.03-2.23%
201416,777.6916,441.3518,053.7115,372.8017,823.077.52%
201315,009.5213,412.5516,576.6613,328.8516,576.6626.50%
201212,966.4412,397.3813,610.1512,101.4613,104.147.26%
201111,957.5711,670.7512,810.5410,655.3012,217.565.53%
201010,668.5810,583.9611,585.389,686.4811,577.5111.02%
20098,885.659,034.6910,548.516,547.0510,428.0518.82%
200811,244.0613,043.9613,058.207,552.298,776.39-33.84%
200713,178.2612,474.5214,164.5312,050.4113,264.826.43%
200611,409.7810,847.4112,510.5710,667.3912,463.1516.29%
200510,546.6610,729.4310,940.5510,012.3610,717.50-0.61%
200410,315.5110,409.8510,854.549,749.9910,783.013.15%
20039,006.648,607.5210,453.927,524.0610,453.9225.32%

Please don’t cherry pick, the general trend over the last 20 years is by far up.
yea i dont dispute that im saying were in teh ponzi phase of hte business cycle
 
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