If you think oil prices are based on supply and demand you are even dumber then you appear to be. You need to find an opinion that wasn't provided for you.
Oh, really. Two points that will prove that I am right.
#1 The world is in a recession. In recessions, the world will use less oil.
#2 The supply of oil has never been greater and will become even a bigger glut when the oil fields off the coast of Brasil go on-line in the next 12 months.
Face it, the price of oil will remain relatively cheap for the next 1 to 3 years.
Unless you think that the people who are supplying us with oil just want to lower the price of it for the warm fuzzy feeling they get in their chests.