I think putting all the topped out drivers out to roost is Fat Freddy's game plan for Express. One of my managers didn't elaborate on the nature of coming changes except that we'd be shifting a lot of our residentials to Ground. What he did say was that the guys who are used to making 10 hours a day are "going to feel it". All of those step progression papers they had hanging up in the break room and checkout room are long in the trash. It seems that the plan is to make conditions so intolerable for topped out drivers that they willingly retire, only to be replaced by a 22 year old making peanuts. What about the mid-career drivers who are making $24 an hour and were planning on sticking it out until they were topped out? Welp. That day is never coming, so you can make your $24 an hour for the rest of your career or you can find another job and be replaced by a 22 year old making peanuts. Did anyone actually come out and say this yet? Of course not, but if you read between the lines, it really looks like that's where their heads are, and I don't know why people keep saying "it'll never happen to us" as if they somehow have immunity or recourse against the company's whims.
There's been a lot of talk about this. Basically the plan is to reduce the number of daily flights to reduce costs. There has to be scale to make it work so past efforts of single markets or districts would not necessarily be indicative of what to expect. Broadly speaking, SO/ES would have a sunrise sort and be trucked rather than flown. This will increase costs at the station level because it will require a second sort to process that freight and get it delivered by the commit. The intent would be that cost is more than offset by reducing flights.
Whether or not this ultimately reduces OT or pushes tenured couriers to mid-day is TBD. Just how much box freight would come through those affected markets is not accurately identified. The west would not be impacted by this due to distance to the hubs. It could move to OAKH, LAX, or ONT in the future, but it would never be on the same scale and may not happen at all. FedEx is a better job west of the Rockies than east.
That being said, turnover costs money. There is a healthy amount of churn with retirements, people that should be terminated, and promotions. Once you get past that amount - it varies by company/industry then it makes sense to retain employees. I'd expect to see wage increases in most normal environments. The bottom is rising with $15/hr jobs at Target, etc and FedEx will need to recruit and retain talent.
I do think pursuing something professionally is great. It's my understanding you're in DMV. Teacher pay there is good for tenured teachers. I know that's not true everywhere, but it is very reasonable to expect 90K+ with a MA/MEd in that area. I have friends that teach in MD with and English degree that do very well. Also, if something happened you could teach elsewhere and locate in a well-paying area. If you make 85K+ at FedEx and lose that job it might not be so easily replaced.