I've read several news pieces on this and they are about all the same. But what really bothered me after the fact was wondering either just who was lying or were they each letting the other posture to those they were preaching too.
Here's what I was left thinking. The union needs to look strong in the face of it's union members and the company needs to look like it's making real headway to Wall Street and the customers. Neither side that I could see anywhere suggested what the otherside was saying was false or a lie and let what they had said stand but only made a point of their position.
Personally, here's what I came away with and for now until facts show otherwise will believe. As the article said, the talks are only suspended. There is a wide amount being discussed of just what is the exact amount of the withdrawal fee from CS. The gap is from $4bil to $12bil and from what I understand CS has not been the most cooperative in giving hard exact figures. Now that part is rumor from a source and that's all I'll say about it. (And it's not Jon Frum)
Now my opinion, while they try and work out the exact amount and not blow the cover that the idea of withdrawing from CS is in fact in real discussions, a cover story like we are seeing is in play that still grant plausible deniability in the future if need be.
Sorry folks, but that's how I see it. And one other thing if we do manage to withdraw from CS, 2 opposing sides will be potentially harmed and could even find themselves with some common ground. Those 2 parties are the hardline Teamsters and the upstart APWAer's because the biggest control mechanism for the hardline Teamsters and keeping the rest of us in line are the health and welfare benefits. Remove that and the IBT becomes just another dime store union that we can vote in and vote out at will. A major monetary issue is just beyond their control so to speak. For the APWAer's, CS is the key issue for these guys and is about all they may have going for them. If the pension crisis is resolved, what's the likelyhood that a broad base of Teamsters will revolt to a new union? Slim and none. Ironic that for both side the status quo must be maintained. Hoffa and the IBT are in the hotseat because of APWA and IMO it's the reason that the whole idea of a different pension plan is even in play to begin with. Funny how the landscape has changed so much since 1997' and I have to wonder where we'd be now had we changed pensions in 97'?
Hoffa and company are fighting for their lives IMO. CS is in trouble when you have the 08' pension laws coming into play and if he stays the course with CS, he has to have guarantees from the CS folks that the plan will remain viable with these laws in play. Also UPS, in it's own hotseat knows that if this doesn't happen, they could face a huge chunk coming out of their wallet anyway to bring the plan up to where it needs to be. The withdrawal fee amount could be a drop in the bucket comapred to the real cost if CS isn't fixed and this scares UPS. Scares me too because this may mean less money for raises and other benefits not to mention an economic burden on the company itself! Who will bare the working brunt of making up this economic shortfall should it come into play? UPS position will be "if we gotta pay it, you gotta earn it back!"
If Hoffa stays with CS and the plan comes under gov't edict where beenies are further cut, the political ramifications especially in the south where the union is weak anyway among the members may be fatal and could effect other areas of the country as well. However, if Hoffa accepts a UPS/IBT plan to the liking of the members covered, IMO APWA is DOA and has no future.
You know, this might make for a good movie of the week or something if my retirement life wasn't hanging in the balance in the middle of all this. Pretty sad when you just don't and in some respect can't trust either side anymore!