All this back and forth completely misses the point for the Express wage employee.
Things are getting worse, not better. Things aren't going to get better, they are only going to continue to get worse.
Go back to 2009, when Fred kicked his 'shearing operation' into high gear. Have things gotten worse or remained about the same in the past 4 years? Do you think things will remain as they are now, or will they continue to get worse?
If you answered, "Got/get worse" to both questions - then by necessity you are faced with one of two possible courses of action. Either get the hell out of Express as soon as you can (there are greener pastures out there, believe me), OR end the denial and excuse making and start organizing. It is as simple as that, no further debate needed.
You don't need a MBA to realize that Express is pulling a monumental 'fast one' on its wage employees, and that Express - if forced into the corner of a negotiating table - could substantially sweeten its compensation package for its career wage employees. The debate as to whether that amount would be equal to UPS compensation is irrelevant - the issue is that the compensation would RISE in comparison to what is currently being offered. Comparing what Express employees would get in a INITIAL labor contract to what UPS has in their current labor contract is a classic 'red herring' You would NOT get what UPS has in their contract - but that doesn't change the fact one bit that you (as an Express wage employee) would get MORE that you are getting now.
Just because the Wright brothers couldn't make the first aircraft they designed capable of flying across the Atlantic, didn't mean that they should've given up trying to fly in the first place ("Orville, we just can't fly across the Atlantic in this thing we have, so let's go back to making bicycles and leave it at that").
As an Express wage employee, right now you are focused on just trying to get off the ground. MAYBE in the coming years, after having gotten into the air, then you can start looking to get across the Atlantic in one flight. Your goal right now is to get into the air, not to cross the Atlantic. DON'T listen to the 'nay sayers' that focus on the fact that you don't stand a snowball's change in hell of getting across the Atlantic right now - they are right, you don't stand a snowball's chance in hell in getting across the Atlantic RIGHT NOW. Your focus is on getting off the ground and getting some experience in 'flying', and who knows, in the future, you may very well be on your way across the Atlantic non-stop.
I will tell you this (I've said this well over a year ago), ONCE Dynamic ROADS is fully implemented and reasonably perfected, it IS OVER for you as a Courier. If you are in a station right now that is working up DRA, you realize what a threat DRA is to the career Courier. Express is having a hell of a time getting it to work correctly, but they are making steady progress. With DRA, they will no longer need a Courier that is capable of any thinking whatsoever. Pull the freight that has the route number on it (already perfected), look at the stop order number on the tag (work in progress), then place the freight in your truck in sequential order (again, work in progress). Follow the delivery manifest on the powerpad, pull the pieces that match with the stop number - proceed to next stop. Continue till the truck is empty then RTB.
With a reasonably perfected DRA, if Express Couriers were to organize, Fred would merely declare a lock out, pull in Ground drivers who could pass the background, residency, drug, credit, criminal record, tattoo checks and get his volume off. He'd immediately pull the trigger on getting non-overnight volume over to Ground to deliver, and since DRA is so simple that virtually anyone that can lift a package and drive a truck can use it - he'd get in replacement workers (scabs) to fill in any remaining vacancies. Then he'd offer incentives to any represented Couriers to cross the picket line in order to effectively break any strike. It would be OVER for the career Courier.
That is why time is rapidly RUNNING OUT for you. Every day you delay, you play Fred's game. You give him more time to perfect his plans to make you obsolete - and capable of ignoring any potentially organized workforce with a lockout.
I'll say it again, if you can't get out of Express and have no choice but to make Express your career, you by NECESSITY are compelled to organize and do it now. Delays are only hurting you, NOT Fred.
Those wage employees who are doing everything they can to argue against a union are looking at their self interests. They want to ride it out till THEY can leave/retire from Express, then those in their 20s and 30s are on their own to face Fred - bye bye suckers.... They know they are at risk of injury of having some issue come up which could result in their losing Express employment, but they are of they opinion that if they 'play it safe' they can make it through till THEY are ready to leave, then to hell with those left behind.