Coronavirus

newfie

Well-Known Member
You solution would be the equivalent of states shutting down their borders. Not exactly economically practical.

weak argument. the reason its not as you say is because european countries have not shut down foreign travel to them.
if all countries did so then your argument would be correct
 

vantexan

Well-Known Member
the facts still speak for themselves 57 deaths and the hospitals are not blown out and overwhelmed with coronavirus patients.

everyone on the liberal side is trying desperately to over inflate the affect of this virus here despite hard evidence to the contrary
Now at 62 from almost nothing a few weeks ago. The 3000+ known cases indicate many thousands more that haven't blown up yet. It's the long incubation period while still contagious that makes this difficult to stop.
 

vantexan

Well-Known Member
Something to keep in mind. A Chinese university determined there are two strains now of coronavirus. The original strain was much more aggressive while the new strain from a mutation is much milder. A few weeks back 82% of known cases were mild. As this spreads this number has grown to 93% of all cases are mild. So the severity seems to be a matter of which strain you catch. Eventually as all viruses do it will run it's course.
 

Jones

fILE A GRIEVE!
Staff member
No the numbers represent deaths from known cases. The Koreans are being proactive and catching cases early to get them treatment. If we don't go to the extent they have we're going to see a huge increase in cases and deaths. And not so easy considering our population size and geographical size.
That's my point. In areas where testing is limited (like the US currently) the only known cases are the ones with severe symptoms who have tested positive and basing fatality rates strictly off that makes it sound worse than it actually is. In areas like SK where people with milder/no symptoms are being included the fatality rates are way down.
 

vantexan

Well-Known Member
That's my point. In areas where testing is limited (like the US currently) the only known cases are the ones with severe symptoms who have tested positive and basing fatality rates strictly off that makes it sound worse than it actually is. In areas like SK where people with milder/no symptoms are being included the fatality rates are way down.
Not really. 62 cases out of 3100+ in the U.S. isn't very much. It's the contagious nature of it spreading eventually to most of the population that will result in a high number of deaths. And disproportionately among the elderly.
 

clipperman

Well-Known Member
Are you taking only Italy as your example? South Korea’s universal care and competent government management contained their outbreak very well. Government run drive up testing did a great job. There is no evidence our garbage system will have better results.
South Korea allowed a private firm to develop testing kits before there was even a case reported in the country speeding their ability to assess the spread,why didn’t private firms here do the same thing? Or private firms in Europe?
 

It will be fine

Well-Known Member
South Korea allowed a private firm to develop testing kits before there was even a case reported in the country speeding their ability to assess the spread,why didn’t private firms here do the same thing? Or private firms in Europe?
You tell me why that didn’t happen here in our glorious free market system?
 

newfie

Well-Known Member
South Korea allowed a private firm to develop testing kits before there was even a case reported in the country speeding their ability to assess the spread,why didn’t private firms here do the same thing? Or private firms in Europe?

That was one of the reasons you saw the presser friday with all the top corporate leaders there. Our future response plan will now include private industry where it never did in the past.
 

Jones

fILE A GRIEVE!
Staff member
Not really. 62 cases out of 3100+ in the U.S. isn't very much. It's the contagious nature of it spreading eventually to most of the population that will result in a high number of deaths. And disproportionately among the elderly.
You're making my point. We don't have wide spread testing, therefore we don't have the real fatality rates.
 

Box Ox

Well-Known Member
South Korea allowed a private firm to develop testing kits before there was even a case reported in the country speeding their ability to assess the spread,why didn’t private firms here do the same thing? Or private firms in Europe?

Probably because they're still technically at war with North Korea and are ready for a lot. Sat down and thought about all the ways North Korea might try to get at them and planned accordingly.
 

vantexan

Well-Known Member
You're making my point. We don't have wide spread testing, therefore we don't have the real fatality rates.
The ones that aren't known are either going to be mild or blow up into something serious. We do know worldwide right now 7% are serious and there's about a 3.4% mortality rate overall. The testing doesn't reduce the severity of the bad cases. It does catch cases early which allows treatment as well as quarantine that greatly reduces the mortality rate as well as the spread. But we are past or are very near being past catching enough cases early. They didn't do what South Korea did in Italy and now they are in lock down to try to stop it.
 

Babagounj

Strength through joy
Hoboken has become the first city in the US to implement a widespread curfew due to coronavirus fears, and will limit restaurants to takeout and delivery

  • Hoboken, New Jersey, will implement a 10 p.m. curfew and restrict restaurants to takeout and delivery only amid the coronavirus pandemic.
  • Starting March 14, residents must remain in their homes unless there's an emergency or they're required to work at night, according to Mayor Ravinder Bhalla.
  • Hoboken officials later clarified that dog-walking would also be allowed, and that the goal of the curfew was instead to prevent activities like house parties.
  • Bhalla also announced severe restrictions on restaurants and bars, with none being allowed to serve food within their premises.
  • Bhalla said in his statement that one incident that highlighted the need for the measures occurred Saturday evening, when police responded to a bar fight in downtown Hoboken.
    At least one person required emergency services, but police had to wait more than 30 minutes "because our EMS is inundated with service calls," Bhalla said.
  • Earlier on Saturday, Bhalla announced that all gyms, health clubs, day cares, and movie theaters would also be shuttered.
 

Jones

fILE A GRIEVE!
Staff member
The ones that aren't known are either going to be mild or blow up into something serious. We do know worldwide right now 7% are serious and of those there's about a 3.4% mortality rate. The testing doesn't reduce the severity of the bad cases. It does catch cases early which allows treatment as well as quarantine that greatly reduces the mortality rate as well as the spread. But we are past or are very near being past catching enough cases early. They didn't do what South Korea did in Italy and now they are in lock down to try to stop it.
A 3.4% mortality for serious cases is not the same as the mortality rate for all cases, which is a lot lower. It's disingenuous to compare that number to the total mortality rates for influenza which is what a lot of folks are doing.
 

vantexan

Well-Known Member
A 3.4% mortality for serious cases is not the same as the mortality rate for all cases, which is a lot lower. It's disingenuous to compare that number to the total mortality rates for influenza which is what a lot of folks are doing.
I misspoke and changed that. It's 3.4% of all cases and looking at the severe cases alone it's higher. Very dangerous over 70 or with cardiovascular, diabetes, or respiratory issues. Over 80 up to 20% die.
 
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