UPS is like the Fed. They don't necessarily make good decisions in a timely manner. They are reactive, not proactive. If your awareness goes just a little beyond what you are doing next weekend, you could see the signs. I shorted UPS stock in July of 2023 and I shorted them again in December and January. Our earnings report last week was a great payday. That being said, I didn't short them because I was guessing. It was an educated decision based on real signs. There were signs everywhere that our volume was excessively low. When you can walk down the belt and visually see that you can walk through just about every truck on any given day during peak season, that should tell you something. Historically, normal peak season days came with full trucks and multiple shuttles out to areas, followed by air meets in the evenings due to most driver's having late ETA's. This peak season came with empty trucks, early ETA's and few shuttles.
That being said, things will get much worse before it gets a little better. The signs are everywhere.
Cut your personal costs and invest until it hurts because inflation will eat away at your $$$ stuffed in your pillow.